🚨 Alert #4009 Thu Sep-03 19:00:34
Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta are leading a $700 billion AI data center investment race in 2026, with Amazon planning the highest capital expenditure at approximately $200 billion.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AMZN | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.31% | -0.12% | 255.30 | 259.49 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.81% | +0.39% | 596.59 | 618.72 | |
| MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.89% | +0.22% | 482.28 | 515.00 | |
| counterparty NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.49% | +1.12% | 223.46 | 230.14 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.73% | +0.19% | 337.90 | 344.36 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long AMZN (other: Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta are leading a $700 billion AI data center investment race in 2026, with Amazon planning the highest capital expenditure at approximately $200 billion.) |
| S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.49% · Δ 30m +1.12% · px 230.00 (prev 224.41) → close -0.62% |
| S3 | - | ○ skip | — | no peer in universe |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AMZN at close, exit next close (other: Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta are leading a $700 billion AI data center investment race in 2026, with Amazon planning the highest capital expenditure at approximately $200 billion.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 long (decision 16044) for S4 AMZN exiting 2026-09-04] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ▲ long | 3 | 258.39 | 259.04 | +1.95 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN S1 | +0.42% | -0.02% | Signal: Right — the bullish call worked; price never went meaningfully against the position (worst -0.02%) and drifted up after entry. Timing: Partially late — AMZN was already +1.31% from prior close at decision time, so a chunk of the repricing was in the price before entry; the remaining move captured was small (+0.25%). Exit: Reasonable — the +0.25% realized was about 60% of the best unrealized (+0.42%), so the exit captured most of what was available. The dominant factor is timing: the trade was directionally correct but entered after most of the day's move, leaving only a thin residual gain to harvest. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.