🚨 Alert #3945 Thu Sep-03 13:31:33
Micron's DRAM revenue grew fivefold year-over-year in Q2 2026 as it captured approximately 24% of the global market amid a surge in AI-driven demand.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long MU (other: Micron's DRAM revenue grew fivefold year-over-year in Q2 2026 as it captured approximately 24% of the global market amid a surge in AI-driven demand.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close +1.43% |
| S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long MU at close, exit next close (other: Micron's DRAM revenue grew fivefold year-over-year in Q2 2026 as it captured approximately 24% of the global market amid a surge in AI-driven demand.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 short (decision 15788) for S4 MU exiting 2026-09-04] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ▲ long | 1 | 939.12 | 957.33 | +18.21 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| MU S1 | +2.09% | -1.84% | Signal: right. The bullish call played out — price rose ~1.9% from entry to exit. Timing: fine, or at least not late. At decision time the stock was roughly flat vs. prior close (-0.37%), and the fill at 939.12 was well below prior close, so the trade wasn't chasing an already-completed pop — though the data doesn't show when the Q2 news actually broke, so we can't fully rule out that the article was stale. Exit: near-optimal. The +1.94% realized P&L captured almost all of the +2.09% best unrealized, versus a -1.84% worst drawdown that was ridden out. Dominant factor: a correct directional signal executed with an exit that harvested essentially the entire available move — this trade worked as intended. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.