Sun Oct-18 15:12:18
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3831 Wed Sep-02 13:13:43
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's Demand for Chipmaking Tools Near Double
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company is experiencing a near doubling in demand for chipmaking tools, signaling strong capacity expansion to meet AI and high-performance computing needs.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.53% | +0.31% | 408.80 | 416.35 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.62% | +0.23% | 453.18 | 462.14 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.25% | +0.30% | 1652.15 | 1687.82 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.25% | +0.42% | 164.67 | 170.39 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.19% | +0.42% | 216.34 | 227.58 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.02% | +0.18% | 348.79 | 375.22 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long TSM (other: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company is experiencing a near doubling in demand for chipmaking tools, signaling strong capacity expansion to meet AI and high-performance computing needs.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred long: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close +2.91% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long TSM at close, exit next close (other: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company is experiencing a near doubling in demand for chipmaking tools, signaling strong capacity expansion to meet AI and high-performance computing needs.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 long (decision 15504) for S4 TSM exiting 2026-09-03] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ▲ long | 2 | failed |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.