🚨 Alert #3285 Tue Aug-25 19:30:11
Microsoft confirmed NVIDIA's RTX Spark SoC will power new Windows on Arm devices from major OEMs later this year, expanding the platform's silicon support beyond Qualcomm.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long MSFT (product: Microsoft confirmed NVIDIA's RTX Spark SoC will power new Windows on Arm devices from major OEMs later this year, expanding the platform's silicon support beyond Qualcomm.) |
| S2 | QCOM | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close +0.68% |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD → close +0.24% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long MSFT at close, exit next close (product: Microsoft confirmed NVIDIA's RTX Spark SoC will power new Windows on Arm devices from major OEMs later this year, expanding the platform's silicon support beyond Qualcomm.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 long (decision 13164) for S4 MSFT exiting 2026-08-26] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ▲ long | 2 | 490.00 | 491.94 | +3.88 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT S1 | +0.38% | -0.05% | Signal: correct — the bullish call played out, with MSFT moving up while the position was open. Timing: the stock was already +0.54% off the prior close at decision time and the fill at 490.00 sits ~0.55% above that close, so some of the news-driven move was already in the price by entry; whether more upside was "left on the table" pre-entry can't be judged from this data alone. Exit: excellent — the +0.40% realized gain matches or slightly exceeds the best unrealized (+0.38%), meaning the exit captured essentially everything available with negligible drawdown (-0.05%). Dominant factor: a correct signal with a near-perfect exit; the only blemish is that entry occurred after a modest initial pop, which capped the trade at a small absolute gain. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.