Mon Aug-31 19:02:41
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #327 Tue Jul-21 14:01:58
Forget Picking the Next AI Winner: TSM Lets You Profit From Every Wave of the Revolution
TSMC reported strong Q2 earnings with revenue up 39% and EPS up 61%, driven by broad AI demand across GPU, CPU, and other architectures manufactured in its fabs.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.84% | +0.28% | 414.22 | 426.19 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | +5.62% | +0.12% | 522.30 | 546.54 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | +4.93% | -0.04% | 380.86 | 390.09 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | PRICED | -2.54% | +0.19% | 322.30 | 329.43 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | +1.70% | +0.04% | 170.47 | 175.68 | |
| counterparty NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | +1.67% | +0.25% | 204.23 | 207.50 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +4.84% · Δ 30m +0.28% · px 417.65 (prev 398.37) → close +1.71% |
| S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close +0.61% |
| S3 | - | ○ skip | — | no peer in universe |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +4.84% · Δ 30m +0.28% · px 417.65 (prev 398.37) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.