Mon Aug-31 19:07:06
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3268 Tue Aug-25 17:20:43
The Price of Progress for Google Stock
Alphabet reported strong Q2 2026 revenue growth driven by Google Cloud but posted negative free cash flow and raised CapEx guidance to $195-205 billion due to AI infrastructure spending.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.39% | +0.13% | 345.69 | 350.72 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | +4.84% | +0.71% | 466.91 | 482.30 | |
| NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.70% | +0.54% | 210.10 | 214.28 | |
| META | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.09% | -0.07% | 562.22 | 570.34 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | -0.49% | +0.09% | 259.90 | 263.76 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | FRESH | +0.38% | +0.04% | 483.77 | 492.30 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short GOOGL (earnings: Alphabet reported strong Q2 2026 revenue growth driven by Google Cloud but posted negative free cash flow and raised CapEx guidance to $195-205 billion due to AI infrastructure spending.) [skipped: signal conflict — wanted short, netted, outranked by S2 long GOOGL mat 85 (new mat 75)] → close -0.11% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close +0.64% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short GOOGL at close, exit next close (earnings: Alphabet reported strong Q2 2026 revenue growth driven by Google Cloud but posted negative free cash flow and raised CapEx guidance to $195-205 billion due to AI infrastructure spending.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 75 short lost to mat 85 long (decision 12960) for S4 GOOGL exiting 2026-08-26] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.