Mon Aug-31 19:04:53
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3074 Fri Aug-21 20:20:32
The week of Aug. 17-21: What happened, what matters, what's next
Nvidia disclosed in an SEC filing that it will provide up to $105 billion in credit support and residual-value guarantees for an OpenAI AI data center project in Ohio.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.89% | -0.16% | 214.72 | 218.48 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.39% | +0.13% | 341.47 | 346.07 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | FRESH | +0.87% | +0.21% | 365.20 | 373.98 | |
| META | · unclear | FRESH | +0.75% | -0.05% | 533.74 | 553.75 | |
| AMD | · unclear | FRESH | +0.49% | -0.10% | 463.05 | 475.79 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | FRESH | +0.36% | +0.08% | 468.39 | 485.87 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | -0.35% | +0.12% | 257.39 | 262.04 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long NVDA (partnership: Nvidia disclosed in an SEC filing that it will provide up to $105 billion in credit support and residual-value guarantees for an OpenAI AI data center project in Ohio.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long NVDA exiting 2026-08-21] → close -0.04% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close +0.01% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long NVDA at close, exit next close (partnership: Nvidia disclosed in an SEC filing that it will provide up to $105 billion in credit support and residual-value guarantees for an OpenAI AI data center project in Ohio.) [skipped at close: s4_alignment — wanted long, NVDA -0.94% vs prev close 216.85000610351562 (mark 214.82000732421875), order not placed] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.