Mon Aug-31 19:02:01
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2913 Wed Aug-19 17:21:17
Anthropic revenue surges to $11.6B as OpenAI posts $6.7B with widening losses
Anthropic reported $11.5 billion in Q2 2026 revenue and achieved profitability, while OpenAI reported $6.7 billion in revenue with widening losses.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MSFT | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.31% | +0.01% | 450.97 | 488.84 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.40% | +0.16% | 463.50 | 488.88 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.04% | +0.09% | 258.76 | 267.25 | |
| peer META | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.65% | -0.02% | 539.95 | 553.68 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.67% | +0.24% | 341.20 | 346.49 | |
| NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +0.18% | +0.58% | 217.07 | 221.80 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long MSFT (earnings: Anthropic reported $11.5 billion in Q2 2026 revenue and achieved profitability, while OpenAI reported $6.7 billion in revenue with widening losses.) [skipped: signal conflict — wanted long, conflict-hold — mat 65 ties incumbent S1 short MSFT, incumbent held (strictly higher materiality required to flip)] → close -0.78% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | META | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for META → close -1.22% |
| S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long MSFT at close, exit next close (earnings: Anthropic reported $11.5 billion in Q2 2026 revenue and achieved profitability, while OpenAI reported $6.7 billion in revenue with widening losses.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 long (decision 11688) for S4 MSFT exiting 2026-08-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.