Mon Aug-31 19:08:42
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2674 Fri Aug-14 20:40:29
U.S. Supreme Court clears path for App Store commission showdown as Apple must defend its rates in lower court
The U.S. Supreme Court denied Apple's request to pause proceedings in its antitrust dispute with Epic Games, allowing a lower court to determine permissible commission rates for external App Store transactions.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short AAPL (regulatory: The U.S. Supreme Court denied Apple's request to pause proceedings in its antitrust dispute with Epic Games, allowing a lower court to determine permissible commission rates for external App Store transactions.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 short AAPL exiting 2026-08-14] → close +0.05% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | - | ○ skip | — | no peer in universe |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short AAPL at close, exit next close (regulatory: The U.S. Supreme Court denied Apple's request to pause proceedings in its antitrust dispute with Epic Games, allowing a lower court to determine permissible commission rates for external App Store transactions.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 85 short (decision 10668) for S4 AAPL exiting 2026-08-17] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.