Mon Aug-31 19:08:57
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2655 Fri Aug-14 18:00:21
Nvidia Q2 Revenue Seen $3 Billion to $4 Billion Above Expectations, UBS Says
UBS analysts project Nvidia's Q2 revenue will exceed consensus expectations by $3 billion to $4 billion.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.10% | -0.26% | 224.71 | 226.98 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | -5.92% | -0.42% | 389.13 | 419.80 | |
| peer AMD | · unclear | PRICED | +4.07% | +0.35% | 483.65 | 515.70 | |
| MU | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.44% | +0.08% | 957.90 | 985.58 | |
| TSM | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.13% | -0.19% | 424.61 | 430.62 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | FRESH | -0.39% | -0.24% | 163.22 | 166.54 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long NVDA (analyst: UBS analysts project Nvidia's Q2 revenue will exceed consensus expectations by $3 billion to $4 billion.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long NVDA exiting 2026-08-14] → close +0.02% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD → close +1.99% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long NVDA at close, exit next close (analyst: UBS analysts project Nvidia's Q2 revenue will exceed consensus expectations by $3 billion to $4 billion.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 long (decision 10488) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-08-17] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.