🚨 Alert #2539 Thu Aug-13 15:40:22
Nvidia has formed partnerships with major financial firms including BlackRock and Goldman Sachs to channel $500 billion in third-party capital toward financing AI infrastructure built on Nvidia chips.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.02% | +0.04% | 223.32 | 226.38 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.43% | +0.10% | 479.93 | 496.14 | |
| peer AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.97% | +0.46% | 414.96 | 424.38 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.26% | -0.25% | 483.01 | 501.05 | |
| counterparty GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | +0.94% | +0.10% | 344.26 | 347.51 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | +0.40% | -0.18% | 264.90 | 269.47 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long NVDA (partnership: Nvidia has formed partnerships with major financial firms including BlackRock and Goldman Sachs to channel $500 billion in third-party capital toward financing AI infrastructure built on Nvidia chips.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S3 long NVDA exiting 2026-08-13] → close -0.45% |
| S2 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL → close -0.05% |
| S3 | AVGO | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long AVGO (partnership: Nvidia has formed partnerships with major financial firms including BlackRock and Goldman Sachs to channel $500 billion in third-party capital toward financing AI infrastructure built on Nvidia chips.) |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long NVDA at close, exit next close (partnership: Nvidia has formed partnerships with major financial firms including BlackRock and Goldman Sachs to channel $500 billion in third-party capital toward financing AI infrastructure built on Nvidia chips.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 85 long lost to mat 85 long (decision 10308) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-08-14] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S3 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 424.29 | 417.21 | -14.16 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVGO S3 | 0.00% | -1.66% | Signal: Wrong over the holding period — the stock never traded above entry (best unrealized -0.00%), so the bullish repricing thesis didn't materialize after the fill. Note also the news was about Nvidia, with AVGO traded as a proxy; whether that read-through was ever valid isn't settled by this data. Timing: Likely a factor — AVGO was already up +1.97% from the prior close at decision time, so any Nvidia-driven repricing may have been absorbed before entry, though the data can't fully separate "move already done" from "signal simply wrong." Exit: The exit rode the position essentially to the worst unrealized (-1.66% vs. -1.67% realized), but with zero favorable excursion there was nothing to capture; the dominant factor is the failed/pre-priced signal, not exit execution. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.