kingfisher — alert #2218

🚨 Alert #2218 Mon Aug-10 14:34:20

Palantir: A $13.1 Billion Backlog And Investors Are Just Starting To Catch On (PLTR) | Seeking Alpha

seekingalpha.com · Mon Aug-10 13:20:21 published · Mon Aug-10 14:34:20 alerted · alerted 1h 13m after publish · read at seekingalpha.com ↗ · guidance · mat 65

Palantir raised its full-year revenue guidance to $8.15B-$8.16B and highlighted a $13.1 billion backlog.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

ticker	direction	verdict	since close	30m	day lo	day hi	intraday px
primary PLTR	▲ bullish	REPRICING	-0.38%	+1.18%	168.53	179.39

🧭 Decisions

strategy	ticker	action	side	rationale
S1	PLTR	● enter	▲ long	verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long PLTR (guidance: Palantir raised its full-year revenue guidance to $8.15B-$8.16B and highlighted a $13.1 billion backlog.)
S2	-	○ skip	—	no counterparty in universe
S3	-	○ skip	—	no peer in universe
S4	PLTR	○ skip	—	overnight drift: long PLTR at close, exit next close (guidance: Palantir raised its full-year revenue guidance to $8.15B-$8.16B and highlighted a $13.1 billion backlog.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 65 short (decision 8920) for S4 PLTR exiting 2026-08-11]

📈 Trades

strategy	ticker	side	qty	entry	exit	P&L $	status
S1	PLTR	▲ long	5	174.14	175.24	+5.50	closed

Retrospectives

ticker	mfe	mae	reflection
PLTR S1	+3.03%	-0.28%	Signal: correct. The bullish repricing call worked — the stock ran as high as +3.03% after entry and barely went underwater (-0.28%). Timing: partially eroded. At decision time PLTR was -0.38% vs prev close, but the fill at 174.14 was already +1.24% above prev close (172.01), meaning roughly a point of the move occurred between decision and fill — some of the repricing was consumed before entry. Exit: the dominant factor. The trade exited at +0.63% (+$5.50) against a peak unrealized of +3.03% (~$26), capturing only about a fifth of the available move on a signal that was directionally right with almost no adverse excursion. The data here doesn't say why the exit fired, so whether it was a rule or discretion can't be settled from this record.

ticker

mfe

mae

reflection

PLTR S1

+3.03%

-0.28%

Signal: correct. The bullish repricing call worked — the stock ran as high as +3.03% after entry and barely went underwater (-0.28%).

Timing: partially eroded. At decision time PLTR was -0.38% vs prev close, but the fill at 174.14 was already +1.24% above prev close (172.01), meaning roughly a point of the move occurred between decision and fill — some of the repricing was consumed before entry.

Exit: the dominant factor. The trade exited at +0.63% (+$5.50) against a peak unrealized of +3.03% (~$26), capturing only about a fifth of the available move on a signal that was directionally right with almost no adverse excursion. The data here doesn't say why the exit fired, so whether it was a rule or discretion can't be settled from this record.

📖 Glossary

S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.