Mon Aug-31 19:07:07
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1834 Tue Aug-04 17:40:43
The FCC Mulls Banning China-Sourced Optical Transceivers, Threatening Innolight's 27% Global Market Share As Coherent And Lumentum Prepare To Pounce
The FCC is considering a ban on China-sourced optical transceivers, which could disrupt supply chains for major tech companies like NVIDIA and Google that rely on Chinese manufacturer Innolight.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.72% | -0.13% | 208.89 | 216.89 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | +6.68% | -0.26% | 154.48 | 163.44 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +5.97% | -0.08% | 398.53 | 421.83 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | -1.96% | +0.25% | 276.40 | 280.96 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | +1.69% | -0.28% | 475.61 | 498.91 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | -1.54% | -0.38% | 575.50 | 592.28 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.78% | +0.14% | 366.39 | 380.31 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.72% · Δ 30m -0.13% · px 210.19 (prev 206.64) → close +0.97% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close -0.67% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.72% · Δ 30m -0.13% · px 210.19 (prev 206.64) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.