🚨 Alert #1775 Tue Aug-04 14:40:44
Teads Holding filed a lawsuit against Google and Alphabet seeking treble damages for alleged anticompetitive practices in the digital ad-tech market.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> short GOOGL (regulatory: Teads Holding filed a lawsuit against Google and Alphabet seeking treble damages for alleged anticompetitive practices in the digital ad-tech market.) [closed early: netted out by outranking S1 long GOOGL decision 7173] |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | META | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for META → close +0.56% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short GOOGL at close, exit next close (regulatory: Teads Holding filed a lawsuit against Google and Alphabet seeking treble damages for alleged anticompetitive practices in the digital ad-tech market.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 85 long (decision 7176) for S4 GOOGL exiting 2026-08-05] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ▼ short | 2 | 372.74 | 375.25 | -5.02 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL S1 | +0.59% | -1.37% | Signal (dominant factor): The bearish call was wrong — GOOGL rose ~0.7% while the trade was open, and the worst unrealized (-1.37%) far exceeded the best (+0.59%). The lawsuit thesis simply didn't reprice the stock downward during the holding period. Timing: Entry came after a +1.62% 30-minute rally, so the trade wasn't chasing a move that had already occurred — price hadn't sold off pre-entry — but shorting into short-term upward momentum didn't help. Exit: The close was mechanical (netted out against a long GOOGL decision), not a judgment call; it landed at roughly -0.67%, worse than the brief +0.59% best but better than the -1.37% worst. The data doesn't tell us whether holding longer would have vindicated the thesis — the forced exit truncates that question. Bottom line: bad signal, exit noise secondary. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.