Mon Aug-31 19:06:50
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1634 Mon Aug-03 13:14:45
DeepSeek's AI price war is changing the business case for AI
Chinese AI firm DeepSeek's release of low-cost models has triggered a significant sell-off in Nvidia shares due to concerns over reduced AI infrastructure spending.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.88% | -0.26% | 197.69 | 208.66 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | +17.32% | -0.13% | 275.80 | 286.78 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | +8.52% | -0.19% | 361.61 | 375.97 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | +5.29% | +0.27% | 562.45 | 597.04 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | +4.96% | -0.11% | 472.09 | 491.29 | |
| peer AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.22% | -0.17% | 457.76 | 495.13 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.54% | +0.16% | 143.27 | 152.20 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.28% | -0.21% | 390.66 | 409.80 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.59% | -0.52% | 376.04 | 392.45 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.88% · Δ 30m -0.26% · px 198.71 (prev 195.04) → close +3.76% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.22% · Δ 30m -0.17% · px 464.89 (prev 485.39) → close +4.25% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.88% · Δ 30m -0.26% · px 198.71 (prev 195.04) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.