Mon Aug-31 20:12:38
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1533 Fri Jul-31 15:13:04
Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq surge on chip-stock rally and South Korea rebound
US semiconductor stocks including Micron and AMD rallied alongside a rebound in South Korean markets driven by strong AI-related memory demand.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -5.00% | -6.58% | 812.48 | 926.39 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.54% | -1.68% | 146.24 | 155.18 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.89% | -1.17% | 380.52 | 397.37 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.08% | -4.36% | 27.36 | 28.78 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.03% | -2.10% | 399.15 | 421.17 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.31% | -3.42% | 472.12 | 514.65 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +0.15% | -1.38% | 195.33 | 201.78 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.00% · Δ 30m -6.58% · px 830.94 (prev 874.66) → close +0.41% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred long: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close +3.29% |
| S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.00% · Δ 30m -6.58% · px 830.94 (prev 874.66) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.