Mon Aug-31 20:04:56
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1476 Thu Jul-30 21:03:23
TSMC Stock Jumps 7% as Microsoft Revives AI-Chip Trade
TSMC shares rose 7% after reporting strong Q2 earnings with revenue and margins exceeding guidance, supported by renewed investor confidence in AI demand following Microsoft's results.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +7.84% | -0.05% | 381.99 | 412.77 | |
| counterparty MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +15.47% | -1.21% | 425.60 | 458.17 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +13.03% | -0.66% | 440.89 | 499.88 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.70% | +0.23% | 374.22 | 391.00 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.63% | +0.43% | 192.16 | 197.05 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.58% | +0.15% | 146.00 | 153.87 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +7.84% · Δ 30m -0.05% · px 404.03 (prev 374.67) → close -0.21% |
| S2 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +15.47% · Δ 30m -1.21% · px 450.95 (prev 390.54) → close +0.18% |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.63% · Δ 30m +0.43% · px 195.01 (prev 190.01) → close -0.12% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +7.84% · Δ 30m -0.05% · px 404.03 (prev 374.67) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.