Mon Aug-31 20:10:45
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1238 Wed Jul-29 21:10:39
Meta narrows annual capex forecast, as AI buildout grows
Meta Platforms raised the lower bound of its 2026 capital expenditure forecast to $130 billion, signaling increased spending on AI infrastructure.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.73% | -4.73% | 521.74 | 599.09 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -6.67% | -2.08% | 420.63 | 458.46 | |
| NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.93% | -1.00% | 188.89 | 197.56 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.58% | -2.27% | 364.85 | 384.61 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | +2.07% | +1.97% | 389.74 | 425.60 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.81% | -0.73% | 224.70 | 232.52 | |
| peer GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | +0.42% | -0.15% | 329.81 | 342.09 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.73% · Δ 30m -4.73% · px 559.39 (prev 593.41) → close +4.11% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL → close +0.29% |
| S4 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.73% · Δ 30m -4.73% · px 559.39 (prev 593.41) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.