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🚨 Alert #1087 Tue Jul-28 20:20:57
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Amazon's Scariest Number Has a Track Record and It's Bullish for AMZN Stock
Amazon is set to report earnings on July 30 with strong AWS growth expectations and a focus on cash flow trajectory over capital expenditure levels.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AMZN | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.14% | -0.17% | 228.16 | 234.02 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | +2.35% | -0.48% | 325.28 | 335.89 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.24% | -0.93% | 391.72 | 399.95 | |
| counterparty NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.62% | +0.22% | 193.21 | 198.53 | |
| META | · unclear | FRESH | +0.04% | -0.04% | 587.04 | 600.38 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long AMZN (earnings: Amazon is set to report earnings on July 30 with strong AWS growth expectations and a focus on cash flow trajectory over capital expenditure levels.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long AMZN exiting 2026-07-28] → close -0.04% |
| S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short NVDA (earnings: Amazon is set to report earnings on July 30 with strong AWS growth expectations and a focus on cash flow trajectory over capital expenditure levels.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S3 short NVDA exiting 2026-07-28] → close -0.01% |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close -0.23% |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AMZN at close, exit next close (earnings: Amazon is set to report earnings on July 30 with strong AWS growth expectations and a focus on cash flow trajectory over capital expenditure levels.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 short (decision 4360) for S4 AMZN exiting 2026-07-29] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.