🚨 Alert #1077 Tue Jul-28 19:51:47
Amazon filed an FCC application to launch a direct-to-device satellite constellation in 2028 and confirmed an expanded partnership with Apple to power satellite services for iPhones and Apple Watches.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long AMZN (product: Amazon filed an FCC application to launch a direct-to-device satellite constellation in 2028 and confirmed an expanded partnership with Apple to power satellite services for iPhones and Apple Watches.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long AMZN exiting 2026-07-28] → close -0.21% |
| S2 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long AAPL (product: Amazon filed an FCC application to launch a direct-to-device satellite constellation in 2028 and confirmed an expanded partnership with Apple to power satellite services for iPhones and Apple Watches.) |
| S3 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short TSLA (product: Amazon filed an FCC application to launch a direct-to-device satellite constellation in 2028 and confirmed an expanded partnership with Apple to power satellite services for iPhones and Apple Watches.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 short TSLA exiting 2026-07-28] → close -0.19% |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AMZN at close, exit next close (product: Amazon filed an FCC application to launch a direct-to-device satellite constellation in 2028 and confirmed an expanded partnership with Apple to power satellite services for iPhones and Apple Watches.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 short (decision 4360) for S4 AMZN exiting 2026-07-29] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S2 | AAPL | ▲ long | 2 | 338.91 | 339.84 | +1.86 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL S2 | +0.35% | -0.03% | Signal: Right direction — price rose after entry and never meaningfully went against the position (worst unrealized just -0.03%). Timing: Some of the move was already in (stock was +0.55% off prev close at decision, entry filled even higher at 338.91), but the position still captured fresh upside, so entry wasn't chasing an exhausted move — though the data can't show how much of the news-driven move occurred pre-decision. Exit: Near-optimal — +0.27% realized against a +0.35% best unrealized, so ~80% of the available move was captured. Dominant factor: the trade executed cleanly on all three dimensions; the limiting factor was simply the small magnitude of the move itself (+1.86 USD on a correct call), not signal, timing, or exit error. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.