Mon Aug-31 19:06:45
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1029 Tue Jul-28 16:23:18
Dow advances as chip rout deepens and Nasdaq slips ahead of Fed decision
Micron shares dropped 10% leading a broader semiconductor sell-off as the Nasdaq slipped ahead of the Federal Reserve decision and major tech earnings.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -9.57% | -0.46% | 774.65 | 848.99 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -8.09% | +0.46% | 444.02 | 475.77 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.84% | +0.54% | 27.27 | 28.69 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.81% | +0.34% | 381.24 | 395.36 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.93% | -0.07% | 162.26 | 167.70 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.63% | +0.33% | 360.53 | 385.19 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.41% | -0.02% | 193.21 | 198.53 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.57% · Δ 30m -0.46% · px 814.06 (prev 900.20) → close +0.88% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short NVDA (other: Micron shares dropped 10% leading a broader semiconductor sell-off as the Nasdaq slipped ahead of the Federal Reserve decision and major tech earnings.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 short NVDA exiting 2026-07-28] → close +0.19% |
| S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.57% · Δ 30m -0.46% · px 814.06 (prev 900.20) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.