Mon Aug-31 19:03:25
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #746 Fri Jul-24 17:22:04
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TSMC Just Flexed Its Cash and Raised the Stakes in America After Record AI-Driven Earnings
TSMC announced a $100 billion increase in U.S. investment to $265 billion alongside record Q2 earnings driven by AI chip demand.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.77% | +0.49% | 401.02 | 415.86 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.63% | +0.58% | 379.17 | 392.10 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | -1.13% | +0.45% | 166.15 | 171.98 | |
| peer NVDA | · unclear | REPRICING | +0.95% | +0.69% | 205.04 | 211.59 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.32% | +1.58% | 29.50 | 31.39 | |
| AMD | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.28% | +1.14% | 519.05 | 548.99 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.77% · Δ 30m +0.49% · px 408.23 (prev 415.58) → close -1.53% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close -2.26% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.77% · Δ 30m +0.49% · px 408.23 (prev 415.58) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.