🚨 Alert #6807 Wed Oct-07 19:40:34
Skydance Is a New Media Giant, ChatGPT's New Ads, and Amazon Delivery Drivers Getting Smart Glasses | Tech Today - CNET
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | primary short contradicts tape: AMZN +1.05% since prev close → close +0.32% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | - | ○ skip | — | no peer in universe |
| S4 | AMZN | ● enter | ▼ short | overnight drift: short AMZN at close, exit next close (m&a: Skydance Is a New Media Giant, ChatGPT's New Ads, and Amazon Delivery Drivers Getting Smart Glasses | Tech Today - CNET) |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S4 | AMZN | ▼ short | 3 | 259.89 | 254.28 | +16.83 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN S4 | +2.26% | -0.26% | Signal: Direction was right — AMZN fell 2.16% from fill (259.89 → 254.28), and the stock had been up ~1.05–1.4% versus the prior close at decision/fill time, so the short entered against a mild intraday rally rather than after a decline. Note the rationale itself is a generic tech-news roundup headline with no AMZN-specific bearish thesis, so the data here doesn't establish why the signal worked, only that it did. Timing: The move had not already happened by entry — the last 30m was flat (+0.05%) and the fill was at or above the decision-time price, which is favorable for a short. Exit: The close-to-close exit captured essentially the entire available move (+2.16% realized vs +2.26% best unrealized, with only −0.26% worst drawdown). Dominant factor: correct direction with a fixed exit that happened to land near the low — a clean win, but the thin news basis means it reads as a favorable overnight drift rather than evidence the rationale had predictive content. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.