verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long QCOM (product: Qualcomm bets on a $200 billion CPU market with its AI data center pivot) [skipped: signal conflict — wanted long, netted, outranked by S1 short QCOM mat 77 (new mat 76)] → close -0.87%
overnight drift: long QCOM at close, exit next close (product: Qualcomm bets on a $200 billion CPU market with its AI data center pivot) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 76 long lost to mat 77 short (decision 26900) for S4 QCOM exiting 2026-10-07]
Signal was wrong: the rationale called META bullish, but the stock fell from 743.1 to 739.3 (-0.51%) and the best it ever did while open was +0.20%, so the predicted direction did not materialize. The dominant factor is the signal itself — the article was about Qualcomm's data-center CPU ambitions, and nothing in the rationale explains why that should lift META; the "FRESH" label aside, the price context at decision time (+0.21% since prev close, flat last 30m) shows little pre-entry move, so timing was not the issue, though entry filled ~0.23% above the decision-time context. On exit, the -3.80 USD loss (-0.51%) sits essentially at the worst unrealized (-0.48%), meaning the trade exited at or near its low and captured none of the small +0.20% that was briefly available — but whether that was a stop rule or a time-based exit isn't stated here, so I can't say the exit logic itself was faulty rather than just unlucky on an already-losing thesis.
📖 Glossary
S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.
