verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long QCOM (earnings: Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) Automotive Revenue Surges 61% As U.S. EV Sales Slide) [closed early: netted out by outranking S1 short QCOM decision 26897]
overnight drift: long QCOM at close, exit next close (earnings: Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) Automotive Revenue Surges 61% As U.S. EV Sales Slide) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 71 long lost to mat 77 short (decision 26900) for S4 QCOM exiting 2026-10-07]
Signal: Right — the bullish call played out, with QCOM rising ~0.45% from entry (180.82 → 181.63) and the worst drawdown while open only -0.36%. Timing: Not stale — at decision time the stock was only +0.09% vs. prior close and flat over the preceding 30 minutes, so the entry wasn't chasing an already-completed move. Exit: The +0.45% realized captured most of the +0.54% peak unrealized, which looks efficient, but the exit was incidental — the position was netted out by an outranking S1 short, not closed on the long's own logic — and nothing here shows what QCOM did afterward, so whether the forced close left money on the table is unsettled. Dominant factor: the entry thesis worked, and the P&L is a byproduct of a portfolio netting rule rather than a judged exit.
📖 Glossary
S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.
