🚨 Alert #6192 Thu Oct-01 14:00:43

Signal: the bullish call was wrong — QCOM finished the holding period down about 1.3% from entry, and the move spent most of its range below the fill (worst -1.23% vs. best only +0.76%), so the direction didn't materialize. Timing: the stock was only +0.59% from prior close and flat over the last 30 minutes at decision time, so there's no evidence the move had already run before entry; entry was not chasing. Exit: the exit at -1.26% is near the worst unrealized (-1.23%), meaning the trade gave back the small +0.76% that was briefly available and closed roughly at the bottom of its range — the dominant factor is a failed signal, with the exit compounding it by capturing essentially the worst of what the trade saw.

Signal: Direction was right — QCOM finished the holding window above entry, and the data center guidance headline didn't reverse on the stock (worst drawdown only -0.47%). Timing: Unclear from this data — the stock was already +0.59% on the day at decision time, but the fill at 182.66 landed ~1.4% below the decision-time price and below the prior close, so either the fill wasn't at the close or price dropped into the fill; the journal doesn't say which, and that discrepancy flatters the P&L relative to the strategy as described. Exit: The mechanical next-close exit captured +1.26% of a +3.30% peak — roughly a third of what was available — making the fixed exit the dominant factor: the trade worked, but it gave back about two-thirds of the maximum move before closing.