🚨 Alert #6160 Thu Oct-01 13:00:39
Wall Street Breakfast Podcast:Constellation's Big Power Play | Seeking Alpha
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
| S2 | AMZN | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long AMZN (partnership: Wall Street Breakfast Podcast:Constellation's Big Power Play | Seeking Alpha) [closed early: netted out by outranking S3 short AMZN decision 25111] |
| S3 | - | ○ skip | — | no peer in universe |
| S4 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S2 | AMZN | ▲ long | 3 | 250.40 | 249.45 | -2.85 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN S2 | +0.44% | -1.67% | Signal was the dominant failure. The bullish call didn't materialize: AMZN never got more than +0.44% above entry and sank as far as -1.67%, and the rationale itself is weak — a podcast headline about Constellation's power deal, with AMZN only tangentially implied, is thin grounds for a "repricing" verdict (and the system simultaneously generated a higher-ranked short on the same name, which is what actually killed the trade). Timing was already poor: the stock was +1.03% on the day at decision time, so part of whatever move existed had happened before entry, though the fill at 250.4 was actually below the decision-time price (~251.8), so the entry got a modest discount. Exit was mechanical, not a judgment: the trade was netted out by the outranking short at -0.38%, which landed between the best (+0.44%) and worst (-1.67%) — it avoided the full drawdown but captured nothing; the data doesn't show whether the small upside window preceded or followed the drawdown, so I can't say whether a better exit was realistically available. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.