

Amazon India FY26 Report Card: Loss Balloons 48% YoY, Revenue Inches Closer To ₹40,000 Cr
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> short AMZN (earnings: Amazon India FY26 Report Card: Loss Balloons 48% YoY, Revenue Inches Closer To ₹40,000 Cr) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | - | ○ skip | — | no peer in universe |
| S4 | AMZN | ● enter | ▼ short | overnight drift: short AMZN at close, exit next close (earnings: Amazon India FY26 Report Card: Loss Balloons 48% YoY, Revenue Inches Closer To ₹40,000 Cr) |
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ▼ short | 4 | 246.96 | 246.10 | +3.44 | closed |
| S4 | AMZN | ▼ short | 4 | 246.11 | 246.57 | -1.84 | closed |
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN S1 | +0.47% | -0.29% | Signal: the bearish call was directionally right in a marginal sense — price drifted from 246.96 to 246.10 (-0.35%) — but the catalyst is thin: an Amazon India subsidiary loss report is unlikely to reprice a ~$2.6T parent, and the move is small enough that noise can't be ruled out. Timing: AMZN was already down 1.08% from the prior close at decision time, so much of whatever repricing occurred had happened before entry; the last-30m +0.26% shows the short was taken into a minor bounce, not ahead of the drop. Exit: +$3.44 (+0.35%) captured most of the +0.47% best unrealized against a -0.29% worst, so the exit was reasonable — the dominant factor is that there was almost nothing to capture, because the pre-entry drop had already absorbed the move. |
| AMZN S4 | +6.18% | -1.08% | Signal: Mixed — the short was briefly right in a big way (price traded as much as 6.18% below entry while open), but by the mechanical next-close exit AMZN had recovered to slightly above entry, so the close-to-close direction the rule actually bets on was wrong; the Amazon-India loss headline is a thin catalyst for the parent stock and nothing here shows it drove the intraday drop. Timing: AMZN was already down 1.08% from the prior close at decision time, so part of any headline reaction had occurred before entry, though the subsequent intraday swing dwarfs that — the data doesn't settle whether the entry was late or the drop was unrelated. Exit (dominant factor): The fixed next-close exit captured -$1.84 against +6.18% best unrealized (~$60 on 4 shares); the trade's loss is almost entirely the exit rule letting a large favorable move fully round-trip. |