🚨 Alert #5181 Tue Sep-22 13:40:32
Czechia has formally recognized the provisional approval for Tesla's Full Self-Driving (Supervised) system, expanding its legal operational footprint to seven EU member states.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSLA | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long TSLA (regulatory: Czechia has formally recognized the provisional approval for Tesla's Full Self-Driving (Supervised) system, expanding its legal operational footprint to seven EU member states.) [closed early: netted out by outranking S1 short TSLA decision 20937] |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | - | ○ skip | — | no peer in universe |
| S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long TSLA at close, exit next close (regulatory: Czechia has formally recognized the provisional approval for Tesla's Full Self-Driving (Supervised) system, expanding its legal operational footprint to seven EU member states.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 75 short (decision 20940) for S4 TSLA exiting 2026-09-23] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSLA | ▲ long | 2 | 376.50 | 378.11 | +3.22 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA S1 | +0.69% | -0.83% | Signal: Right — the bullish call played out, with price rising from 376.50 to 378.11 while open. Timing: The stock was only +0.57% off the prior close at decision time, so the entry doesn't look chased; the data here doesn't show a large pre-entry run. Exit: The trade was closed administratively (netted against an outranking short signal), not by the strategy's own logic — yet it still captured +0.43% of a +0.69% max favorable move, roughly 60% of what was available. Dominant factor: The exit was arbitrary — driven by cross-strategy netting rather than the thesis — and it happened to land well; the realized P&L is closer to the best unrealized than the worst, but that's luck of the netting timing, not exit skill. Also notable: a sibling strategy was simultaneously short TSLA, so the system held directly conflicting views on this ticker. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.