🚨 Alert #445 Wed Jul-22 14:52:14

The "REPRICING" verdict was generous for what was essentially a roadmap announcement — next-gen chip unveilings are telegraphed months in advance and rarely cause durable repricing, and the +0.25% outcome (barely a rounding error) confirms this was noise, not a repriced stock. Worse, the trade saw +2.16% unrealized and gave nearly all of it back, so even the exit logic left money on the table. Concrete fix: downgrade product/roadmap announcements to WATCH unless they include a quantifiable financial catalyst (guidance raise, confirmed orders, pricing), and reserve REPRICING for events with hard numbers attached.

Entry vs. outcome: The entry leaned on a product-announcement catalyst (2nm EPYC Venice) to justify generic overnight drift, but hype headlines like this are often already priced in by the close—the trade lost -2.2%, and the -4.47% max adverse excursion vs. +1.49% max favorable shows the position was underwater almost the entire holding period, meaning the "drift" thesis never materialized.

Improvement: Add a filter requiring the announcement to occur intraday after a measurable positive price reaction that hasn't fully faded (e.g., stock up but off its highs by <50%), or skip announcement-driven entries entirely when the stock closed weak into the bell—buying stale news at the close is just paying the top tick for yesterday's story. Alternatively, add a hard intraday stop at -2% rather than holding blind to the next close, which would have cut this loss in half.