verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long AVGO (analyst: Cantor Fitzgerald analyst C.J. Muse raised Broadcom's price target to $600 following strong earnings and increased AI revenue guidance.)
overnight drift: long AVGO at close, exit next close (analyst: Cantor Fitzgerald analyst C.J. Muse raised Broadcom's price target to $600 following strong earnings and increased AI revenue guidance.) [skipped at close: stale at close-fill — wanted long, verdict now PRICED (+2.58% since close, 395m after decision), order not placed]
Signal: Right — the bullish call held, with the position reaching +1.81% unrealized and never dropping more than -0.74%. Timing: Partially late — the stock was already +1.25% off the prior close at decision time, and the fill at 366.0 was ~2.3% above prev close, so a meaningful chunk of the repricing had occurred before entry. Exit: The dominant weakness — the exit at 367.4 captured only ~+0.38% of a move that peaked at +1.81%, banking roughly a fifth of the available gain. The bluntest read: signal correct, but the exit left most of the profit on the table; whether the post-exit price kept rising or reversed isn't in the data, so we can't tell if the early exit was lucky or costly beyond the observed peak.
📖 Glossary
S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.
