Mon Aug-31 19:06:13
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🚨 Alert #3338 Wed Aug-26 15:31:12
Taiwan Indicts Nvidia And Supermicro Employees For Smuggling 74 Blackwell AI Servers To China - CDM - Human Reporters * Not Machines
Taiwanese prosecutors have indicted employees of Nvidia and Super Micro Computer for smuggling restricted AI servers into China in violation of U.S. export controls.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.19% | -0.97% | 206.48 | 220.50 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.36% | -0.77% | 350.42 | 362.13 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.35% | -0.50% | 37.05 | 38.59 | |
| peer AMD | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.02% | -1.21% | 473.00 | 490.04 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.35% | -1.06% | 158.86 | 164.92 | |
| TSM | · unclear | FRESH | -0.22% | -0.37% | 414.93 | 424.90 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> short NVDA (regulatory: Taiwanese prosecutors have indicted employees of Nvidia and Super Micro Computer for smuggling restricted AI servers into China in violation of U.S. export controls.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 short NVDA exiting 2026-08-26] → close -0.47% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD → close -1.03% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short NVDA at close, exit next close (regulatory: Taiwanese prosecutors have indicted employees of Nvidia and Super Micro Computer for smuggling restricted AI servers into China in violation of U.S. export controls.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 90 long (decision 13404) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-08-27] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.