Mon Aug-31 20:04:45
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2735 Mon Aug-17 15:40:39
Nvidia's $105bn Ohio guarantee covers buildings, not OpenAI
Nvidia finalized a $105 billion residual value guarantee for data center infrastructure in Ohio to support OpenAI's expansion, securing exclusive chip supply rights and an equity stake in the project operator SB Energy.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long NVDA (partnership: Nvidia finalized a $105 billion residual value guarantee for data center infrastructure in Ohio to support OpenAI's expansion, securing exclusive chip supply rights and an equity stake in the project operator SB Energy.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S2 long NVDA exiting 2026-08-17] → close -0.84% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short AMD (partnership: Nvidia finalized a $105 billion residual value guarantee for data center infrastructure in Ohio to support OpenAI's expansion, securing exclusive chip supply rights and an equity stake in the project operator SB Energy.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S3 short AMD exiting 2026-08-17] → close -0.95% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long NVDA at close, exit next close (partnership: Nvidia finalized a $105 billion residual value guarantee for data center infrastructure in Ohio to support OpenAI's expansion, securing exclusive chip supply rights and an equity stake in the project operator SB Energy.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 85 long lost to mat 95 long (decision 10860) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-08-18] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.