Mon Aug-31 20:12:09
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2613 Fri Aug-14 14:00:44
China Fears Affect Nividia and AMD in Very Different Ways
NVIDIA and AMD reported strong earnings, but NVIDIA excluded China data center revenue from its outlook due to export bans while AMD showed minimal impact from geopolitical tensions.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short NVDA (earnings: NVIDIA and AMD reported strong earnings, but NVIDIA excluded China data center revenue from its outlook due to export bans while AMD showed minimal impact from geopolitical tensions.) [skipped: signal conflict — wanted short, conflict-hold — mat 85 ties incumbent S1 long NVDA, incumbent held (strictly higher materiality required to flip)] → close -0.35% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | QCOM | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for QCOM → close -0.29% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short NVDA at close, exit next close (earnings: NVIDIA and AMD reported strong earnings, but NVIDIA excluded China data center revenue from its outlook due to export bans while AMD showed minimal impact from geopolitical tensions.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 85 short lost to mat 85 long (decision 10488) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-08-17] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.