🚨 Alert #2223 Mon Aug-10 14:36:17
Broadcom expanded its partnership with Samsung Electronics in a five-year agreement covering memory chips, contract manufacturing, and advanced packaging projected to exceed $200 billion through 2030.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AVGO | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long AVGO (partnership: Broadcom expanded its partnership with Samsung Electronics in a five-year agreement covering memory chips, contract manufacturing, and advanced packaging projected to exceed $200 billion through 2030.) |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close -2.77% |
| S4 | AVGO | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AVGO at close, exit next close (partnership: Broadcom expanded its partnership with Samsung Electronics in a five-year agreement covering memory chips, contract manufacturing, and advanced packaging projected to exceed $200 billion through 2030.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 85 long lost to mat 85 long (decision 8992) for S4 AVGO exiting 2026-08-11] |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 431.00 | 422.20 | -17.60 | closed |
Retrospectives
| ticker | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVGO S1 | +0.30% | -2.39% | Signal (dominant factor): The bullish call was simply wrong — despite the partnership news, AVGO fell ~2% from entry, so the predicted direction did not materialize. Timing: The stock was only +0.52% off prior close at decision time (entry at 431.0 vs. 427.76 close, ~+0.76%), so this wasn't a case of chasing an already-completed move; the small pre-entry drift is not the story. Exit: Best unrealized was just +0.30%, so there was essentially nothing to capture on the upside; the exit at -2.04% was near the trough (-2.39% worst), meaning the exit gave back little relative to what the trade offered — the loss reflects the bad signal, not poor exit execution. |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.