kingfisher — alert #1098

🚨 Alert #1098 Tue Jul-28 20:50:31

Super Micro Computer Booked More Than $60 Billion of Orders Last Quarter. The Entire Company Is Worth $19 Billion.

nasdaq.com · Tue Jul-28 20:42:00 published · Tue Jul-28 20:50:31 alerted · alerted 8m after publish · read at www.nasdaq.com ↗ · earnings · mat 85

Super Micro Computer disclosed a record backlog of over $60 billion in new orders for its fiscal fourth quarter, significantly exceeding its current market capitalization.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

ticker	direction	verdict	since close	30m	day lo	day hi
primary SMCI	▲ bullish	PRICED	-4.65%	-0.07%	27.27	28.69
peer AMD	▲ bullish	PRICED	-7.79%	-0.87%	444.02	475.77
counterparty NVDA	▲ bullish	FRESH	+0.40%	-0.21%	193.21	198.53

🧭 Decisions

strategy	ticker	action	side	rationale
S1	SMCI	○ skip	—	verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.65% · Δ 30m -0.07% · px 28.42 (prev 29.81) → close +0.07%
S2	NVDA	○ skip	—	verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> long NVDA (earnings: Super Micro Computer disclosed a record backlog of over $60 billion in new orders for its fiscal fourth quarter, significantly exceeding its current market capitalization.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long NVDA exiting 2026-07-28] → close +0.20%
S3	AMD	○ skip	—	verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.79% · Δ 30m -0.87% · px 456.41 (prev 494.95) → close -0.10%
S4	SMCI	○ skip	—	verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.65% · Δ 30m -0.07% · px 28.42 (prev 29.81)

📈 Trades

no trades spawned

📖 Glossary

S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.